All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -21.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money YSU -2500 / GB +1600
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +30 160 Won
Massey YSU -26.0 (+4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (+15.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -22.9 (+7.1) 145.6 (+14.4) 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -20.2 (+9.8) 146.9 (+13.1) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -19.5 (+10.5) 147.9 (+12.1) 91% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -21.9 (+8.1) 147.9 (+12.1) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 GB 85 – 63 YSU
Jan 22, 2026 YSU 88 – 81 GB
Feb 23, 2025 YSU 81 – 77 GB
Jan 19, 2025 YSU 73 – 69 GB
Feb 25, 2024 YSU 71 – 59 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU GB
Overall 24-10 3-29
Conference 15-5 2-18
Home 14-3 2-10
Away 9-6 1-17
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 80.4 59.3
Avg Pts Against 72.9 76.5
Massey 4.6 (#100) -17.8 (#361)
Bradley-Terry 0.47 (#133) -2.96 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.65 (#123) -3.89 (#360)
RPI 0.526 (#129) 0.373 (#358)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU GB
FG% 48.5% 39.8%
3PT% 37.5% 29.7%
REB / G 35.2 28.0
OREB / G 10.5 7.2
AST / TO 1.30 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 46.1%
TOV% 15.7% 21.5%
ORB% 31.4% 21.6%
FT Rate 22.4% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 16.3%
DRB% 72.2% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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