Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UK +110 TENN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +12 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.7 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -1.3 (+13.3) | 133.7 (-13.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.2 (+14.2) | 130.1 (-10.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -3.1 (+15.1) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.9 (+14.9) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#40) | 19.9 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#45) | 2.58 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#46) | 3.33 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#46) | 0.623 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 40.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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