The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · February 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -11.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money SCU -800 / USD +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +5 155 Won
Massey SCU -11.9 (-6.9) — —
Massey Totals — 162.4 (-7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -9.9 (-4.9) 160.1 (-5.1) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -11.2 (-6.2) 155.7 (-0.7) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -10.9 (-5.9) 160.3 (-5.3) 86% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -10.8 (-5.8) 161.0 (-6.0) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU USD
Overall 23-10 11-20
Conference 11-5 4-12
Home 14-4 8-9
Away 6-3 3-8
Neutral 3-3 0-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 77.3 76.3
Avg Pts Against 73.8 81.6
Massey 5.7 (#90) -2.7 (#219)
Bradley-Terry 1.33 (#68) -0.67 (#243)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.76 (#64) -0.51 (#217)
RPI 0.554 (#83) 0.458 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU USD
FG% 44.6% 44.8%
3PT% 36.1% 35.2%
REB / G 38.4 33.1
OREB / G 11.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.01 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 51.1%
TOV% 18.2% 16.2%
ORB% 32.3% 29.1%
FT Rate 22.7% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 57.5%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.8%
DRB% 75.7% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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