Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -1600 HCU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +23 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -17.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -13.6 (+9.4) | 159.7 (-0.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -14.3 (+8.7) | 156.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.6 (+10.4) | 161.1 (-2.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -13.2 (+9.8) | 162.5 (-3.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -14.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#218) | -2.55 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#201) | -3.01 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#210) | 0.380 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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