Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +188 AAMU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -1.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -3.3 (-1.7) | 131.4 (-14.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -2.4 (-2.6) | 128.6 (-11.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -2.7 (-2.3) | 129.8 (-12.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -2.0 (-3.0) | 130.8 (-13.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#356) | -10.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#360) | -2.33 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.93 (#361) | -2.93 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#358) | 0.354 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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