Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -250 MILW +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -2.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.0 (-4.0) | 138.7 (+10.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.6 (-5.6) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.3 (-3.3) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.6 (-3.6) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#215) | -1.0 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#180) | 0.19 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#170) | 0.01 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.525 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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