I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -6.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money M-OH -250 / EMU +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual EMU +5 143 Lost
Massey M-OH -6.1 (-11.1) — —
Massey Totals — 162.1 (-19.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -3.8 (-8.8) 155.2 (-12.2) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -4.5 (-9.5) 153.3 (-10.3) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -4.2 (-9.2) 156.1 (-13.1) 69% ✗
Baseline ML M-OH -4.0 (-9.0) 157.9 (-14.9) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2026 M-OH 74 – 64 EMU
Mar 13, 2025 M-OH 81 – 75 EMU
Feb 18, 2025 EMU 76 – 66 M-OH
Jan 29, 2025 M-OH 89 – 80 EMU
Mar 2, 2024 M-OH 52 – 37 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH EMU
Overall 12-20 8-23
Conference 6-12 5-13
Home 9-9 6-7
Away 3-9 2-13
Neutral 0-2 0-3
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 72.1
Avg Pts Against 77.3 81.3
Massey -8.2 (#310) -10.7 (#337)
Bradley-Terry -1.84 (#328) -2.14 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.17 (#323) -2.59 (#341)
RPI 0.410 (#330) 0.392 (#340)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH EMU
FG% 44.0% 43.0%
3PT% 32.0% 31.6%
REB / G 30.2 31.8
OREB / G 9.1 9.2
AST / TO 0.90 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 48.3%
TOV% 20.4% 16.9%
ORB% 27.1% 25.6%
FT Rate 25.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.9% 56.4%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 16.6%
DRB% 66.7% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 27.5%

Game Analysis

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