Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
UNLV Rebels
86 – 72
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Thomas & Mack Center · January 25, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNLV -4.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money UNLV -225 / WYO +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNLV win
Actual UNLV +14 158 Won
Massey UNLV -10.3 (+3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 143.8 (+14.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNLV -9.6 (+4.4) 145.3 (+12.7) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNLV -8.8 (+5.2) 145.3 (+12.7) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNLV -9.1 (+4.9) 146.9 (+11.1) 82% ✓
Baseline ML UNLV -9.6 (+4.4) 147.1 (+10.9) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 UNLV 73 – 70 WYO
Jan 7, 2026 WYO 98 – 66 UNLV
Feb 8, 2025 UNLV 68 – 57 WYO
Jan 22, 2025 WYO 63 – 61 UNLV
Feb 28, 2024 UNLV 75 – 69 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNLV WYO
Overall 19-13 9-22
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 9-7 7-8
Away 5-5 1-8
Neutral 5-1 1-6
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.6 68.1
Avg Pts Against 70.5 72.2
Massey 6.3 (#84) -0.4 (#179)
Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#85) -0.70 (#245)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.67 (#69) -0.73 (#228)
RPI 0.566 (#70) 0.471 (#230)
Shooting & Four Factors UNLV WYO
FG% 43.0% 45.0%
3PT% 32.8% 34.2%
REB / G 33.1 31.9
OREB / G 10.5 7.6
AST / TO 1.00 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 52.5%
TOV% 17.6% 17.8%
ORB% 28.5% 23.2%
FT Rate 25.1% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 27.4% 16.8%
DRB% 67.1% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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