Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -1000 FAMU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +10 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -14.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -12.4 (-2.4) | 137.2 (-33.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -11.2 (-1.2) | 132.8 (-28.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -11.8 (-1.8) | 138.8 (-34.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -11.9 (-1.9) | 139.3 (-35.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FAMU 86 – 78 ALCN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 58 ALCN |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FAMU 85 – 76 ALCN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FAMU 65 – 64 ALCN |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ALCN 79 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 10-10 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#260) | -16.4 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#193) | -3.40 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#183) | -4.86 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.369 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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