Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +110 MARQ -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +21 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -0.9 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.2 (-21.2) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -1.5 (-22.5) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -0.6 (-20.4) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.4 (-21.4) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#52) | 14.0 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#63) | 2.39 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#74) | 3.38 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#55) | 0.595 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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