We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · February 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money FIU +110 / JXST -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual JXST +2 152 Lost
Massey JXST -2.9 (+0.9)
Massey Totals 138.3 (+13.7)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 43%
Efficiency Plus ML JXST -2.1 (+0.1) 133.6 (+18.4) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -1.9 (-0.1) 134.7 (+17.3) 41%
Baseline ML JXST -2.4 (+0.4) 135.2 (+16.8) 42%
Baseline Plus ML JXST -2.9 (+0.9) 135.8 (+16.2) 39%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 JXST 7874 FIU
Jan 8, 2026 JXST 7164 FIU
Mar 13, 2025 JXST 6556 FIU
Mar 1, 2025 JXST 8479 FIU
Jan 31, 2025 JXST 7167 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU JXST
Overall 11-22 14-18
Conference 5-11 6-10
Home 9-6 8-7
Away 1-12 5-10
Neutral 1-4 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 71.3 67.2
Avg Pts Against 77.2 67.6
Massey -7.1 (#287) -0.9 (#176)
Bradley-Terry -1.19 (#289) -0.62 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#275) -0.24 (#187)
RPI 0.424 (#318) 0.460 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU JXST
FG% 42.0% 43.6%
3PT% 32.0% 30.2%
REB / G 31.0 36.7
OREB / G 11.0 11.7
AST / TO 1.00 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 47.9%
TOV% 19.0% 19.9%
ORB% 28.6% 33.7%
FT Rate 18.3% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.4% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 25.2% 18.0%
DRB% 63.3% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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