Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money SCU -1000 / USD +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual USD +11 129 Lost
Massey SCU -12.8 (-23.8)
Massey Totals 154.9 (-25.9)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML SCU -12.2 (-23.2) 149.5 (-20.5) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -10.6 (-21.6) 153.0 (-24.0) 88%
Baseline ML SCU -11.3 (-22.3) 153.4 (-24.4) 87%
Baseline Plus ML SCU -11.8 (-22.8) 151.7 (-22.7) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 8573 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 9870 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 9370 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 8180 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 10479 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU USD
Overall 20-13 18-15
Conference 10-6 7-9
Home 11-4 12-6
Away 5-6 4-7
Neutral 4-3 2-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.0 72.5
Avg Pts Against 72.3 78.1
Massey 4.4 (#107) -4.9 (#264)
Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#92) -0.20 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#97) -0.38 (#203)
RPI 0.536 (#114) 0.482 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU USD
FG% 46.7% 44.3%
3PT% 36.7% 35.6%
REB / G 37.8 35.1
OREB / G 11.1 9.7
AST / TO 1.15 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 50.2%
TOV% 18.6% 20.0%
ORB% 32.9% 27.4%
FT Rate 21.9% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 16.8%
DRB% 72.0% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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