Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UK -115 TENN -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +11 | 195 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -0.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (+33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -0.8 (-11.8) | 160.7 (+34.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -0.3 (-10.7) | 156.7 (+38.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -0.6 (-11.6) | 159.2 (+35.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -0.8 (-11.8) | 162.3 (+32.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#21) | 18.0 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#24) | 2.91 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#25) | 3.75 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#41) | 0.652 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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