Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +130 SDST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -0.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -0.0 (+5.0) | 148.3 (+20.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -0.4 (+4.6) | 150.0 (+19.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -0.1 (+4.9) | 152.6 (+16.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -0.2 (+4.8) | 152.4 (+16.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#253) | 0.13 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#252) | 0.07 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#260) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.