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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 11.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Colorado
|
-3.4 | 139.8 | 41% | 85–64 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Loyola Chicago
|
-1.3 | 144.9 | 47% | 80–73 | ✓ |
Tulane
@
USC
|
+11.4 | 150.6 | 81% | 60–89 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Boise State
|
+3.7 | 142.9 | 70% | 93–100 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.