Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | COLO +190 VILL -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +21 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -3.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -1.9 (-19.1) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -3.2 (-17.8) | 136.9 (+12.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -2.7 (-18.3) | 137.0 (+12.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -3.4 (-17.6) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#79) | 10.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#85) | 1.19 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#87) | 1.73 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#189) | 0.516 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.