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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–0 on winners
spread MAE 3.7
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nebraska
@
Arizona State
|
-2.7 | 152.3 | 41% | 86–78 | ✓ |
Georgetown
@
Washington State
|
-2.6 | 153.7 | 43% | 85–82 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
Cincinnati
|
+10.7 | 138.1 | 79% | 61–83 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
UCF
|
+0.2 | 156.1 | 55% | 75–76 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
UC Irvine
|
+1.1 | 130.7 | 59% | 67–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.