← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 4.0
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona
@
Duke
|
+10.3 | 151.3 | 82% | 93–100 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Texas Tech
|
+6.9 | 147.5 | 75% | 83–85 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Michigan State
|
+3.3 | 142.7 | 67% | 70–73 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Tennessee
|
+5.6 | 144.0 | 70% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.