← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.8
22 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
— | — | — | 56–92 | — |
|
|
+6.8 | 144.1 | 76% | 97–75 | ✗ |
|
|
— | — | — | 51–93 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 60–89 | — |
|
|
+5.6 | 145.7 | 58% | 90–80 | ✗ |
|
|
— | — | — | 77–85 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 56–65 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 62–85 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 43–94 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 60–76 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 61–80 | — |
|
|
+12.3 | 149.5 | 83% | 83–91 | ✓ |
|
|
— | — | — | 57–80 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 60–95 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 86–99 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 64–77 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 43–87 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 46–101 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 86–93 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 58–63 | — |
|
|
— | — | — | 68–67 | — |
|
|
+1.4 | 145.7 | 58% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.