Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | LEM +120 CSUN -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +22 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | LEM -21.1 (-43.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -8.6 (-30.6) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -6.8 (-28.8) | 144.1 (+27.9) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | LEM 80 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-16 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#52) | 1.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#175) | -0.32 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#132) | -0.43 (#167) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 55.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 41.8% |
Game Analysis
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