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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–0 on winners
spread MAE 4.7
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Davidson
@
Wright State
|
— | — | — | 102–97 | — |
American University
@
Marist
|
— | — | — | 69–73 | — |
Hampton
@
James Madison
|
— | — | — | 58–106 | — |
UT Martin
@
Youngstown State
|
+15.3 | 148.0 | 88% | 72–90 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Drake
|
— | — | — | 48–80 | — |
Kansas City
@
LSU
|
— | — | — | 63–74 | — |
Lipscomb
@
South Dakota
|
— | — | — | 77–85 | — |
Monmouth
@
Seton Hall
|
— | — | — | 52–79 | — |
South Dakota State
@
Boise State
|
— | — | — | 68–66 | — |
Bellarmine
@
Louisville
|
— | — | — | 67–66 | — |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
San Diego
|
— | — | — | 73–79 | — |
Florida A&M
@
Portland
|
— | — | — | 54–91 | — |
Lehigh
@
Virginia Tech
|
+19.2 | 149.6 | 89% | 52–78 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
App State
|
— | — | — | 74–79 | — |
Charleston Southern
@
Ohio State
|
— | — | — | 56–82 | — |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.