Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -333 UTM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -26.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -20.1 (-2.1) | 147.4 (+14.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -15.3 (+2.7) | 148.0 (+14.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#11) | -2.3 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#19) | -0.35 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#6) | -0.52 (#204) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.7% | 32.3% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 15.8% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 34.7% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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