Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | VT -3300 LEH +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +26 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | VT -23.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -22.8 (+3.2) | 148.9 (-18.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -19.2 (+6.8) | 149.6 (-19.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#21) | -0.9 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#113) | -0.35 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#32) | -0.51 (#192) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.1% | 43.6% |
Game Analysis
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