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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.3
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coastal Carolina
@
South Alabama
|
+1.8 | 136.1 | 59% | 69–68 | ✗ |
Southern Utah
@
Fresno State
|
+9.8 | 137.1 | 80% | 48–67 | ✓ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Xavier
|
+3.3 | 141.1 | 62% | 77–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.