Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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3–1 on winners spread MAE 6.2 4 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Texas @ Oklahoma State +1.5 134.3 40% 61–59 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Cleveland State +1.0 133.4 58% 65–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Cleveland State -1.8 135.7 36% 79–68 ✓
Kent State @ Loyola Chicago +3.7 136.4 63% 62–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.