Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -125 UNT +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -0.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.5 (-3.5) | 134.3 (-14.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.3 (-2.3) | 133.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.6 (-2.6) | 132.8 (-12.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.9 (-3.9) | 133.0 (-13.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 21, 2023 | UNT 65 – 59 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#97) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#76) | 1.54 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#81) | 1.75 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#155) | 0.587 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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