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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 26.3
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+22.4 | 140.5 | 98% | 29–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.1 | 156.8 | 99% | 82–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.2 | 174.9 | 99% | 94–90 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.