Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 185.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN -190 LIU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | IUIN -21.9 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | IUIN -5.7 (-9.7) | 154.8 (+29.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -6.8 (-10.8) | 160.1 (+23.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-15 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#112) | -0.7 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#231) | -0.25 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#169) | -0.35 (#184) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 70.4% | 61.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 54.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 77.8% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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