Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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3–0 on winners spread MAE 9.8 3 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ Duke +6.6 168.4 73% 65–85 ✓
Tennessee @ Houston +3.3 121.2 62% 50–69 ✓
Michigan State @ Auburn +6.3 148.3 72% 64–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.