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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 15.8
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.0 | 146.1 | 61% | 68–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 127.0 | 68% | 75–56 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.4 | 141.4 | 69% | 81–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.