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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
@
Indiana State
|
+2.7 | 154.3 | 60% | 81–85 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Fairfield
|
-4.0 | 146.0 | 36% | 75–58 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Seattle U
|
-0.1 | 153.9 | 50% | 67–77 | ✗ |
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
Norfolk State
|
-1.9 | 146.2 | 43% | 67–75 | ✗ |
UNLV
@
Seton Hall
|
+3.5 | 140.3 | 62% | 68–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.