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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 13.7
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UConn
@
Gonzaga
|
-2.4 | 157.8 | 42% | 82–54 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
San Diego State
|
-0.8 | 135.4 | 47% | 56–57 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Texas
|
+6.7 | 153.5 | 73% | 88–81 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.