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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coastal Carolina
@
Pepperdine
|
+4.4 | 154.6 | 66% | 61–84 | ✓ |
Mississippi State
@
Richmond
|
+1.0 | 138.6 | 54% | 68–67 | ✗ |
NC State
@
Colorado State
|
+0.3 | 143.0 | 51% | 61–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.