Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +140 MSST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -1.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.3 (-1.3) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.6 (-1.6) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.8 (-1.8) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.2 (-2.2) | 137.1 (-2.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | MSST 82 – 71 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#63) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#80) | 1.15 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#72) | 1.63 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#61) | 0.523 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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