Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -2.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -2.6 (-8.4) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -3.1 (-7.9) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -2.1 (-8.9) | 143.2 (+9.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -3.2 (-7.8) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 25, 2021 | MSST 68 – 67 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | 7.3 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#191) | -0.08 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#175) | 0.33 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#169) | 0.480 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.