Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -485 UL +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -10.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -8.7 (-11.7) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -9.4 (-12.4) | 134.4 (-9.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -8.1 (-11.1) | 132.5 (-7.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -8.5 (-11.5) | 133.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JMU 87 – 72 UL |
| Jan 5, 2024 | JMU 68 – 61 UL |
| Feb 19, 2023 | JMU 74 – 68 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#228) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#210) | -1.65 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#217) | -2.20 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#182) | 0.432 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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