Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -218 UTA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +8 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -8.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -4.0 (-12.0) | 135.1 (-27.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -5.1 (-13.1) | 135.2 (-27.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -5.1 (-13.1) | 135.5 (-27.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -5.8 (-13.8) | 136.7 (-28.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | UTA 89 – 70 RGV |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTA 91 – 73 RGV |
| Feb 10, 2023 | UTA 64 – 58 RGV |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UTA 85 – 73 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | -1.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#208) | 0.80 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#190) | 0.74 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#206) | 0.541 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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