Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -198 MONM +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -4.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.2 (+5.8) | 138.4 (-1.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -5.4 (+5.6) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.2 (+5.8) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.2 (+5.8) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | COFC 79 – 78 MONM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MONM 84 – 73 COFC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COFC 83 – 59 MONM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | COFC 94 – 83 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | COFC 69 – 55 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#163) | -1.9 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#117) | -0.33 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#142) | -0.58 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#90) | 0.488 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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