Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -900 MONM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.6 (+5.4) | 143.0 (+34.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -10.0 (+1.0) | 147.1 (+29.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.4 (+5.6) | 145.2 (+31.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.8 (+5.2) | 143.8 (+33.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COFC 74 – 63 MONM |
| Mar 10, 2025 | COFC 79 – 78 MONM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MONM 84 – 73 COFC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COFC 83 – 59 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | COFC 69 – 55 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 10-2 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#121) | -0.3 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#79) | 0.83 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#88) | 1.00 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#68) | 0.534 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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