I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Mid-American Conference · McGuirk Arena · February 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -5.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money CMU +230 / M-OH -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual M-OH +42 150 Lost
Massey M-OH -3.4 (-38.6) — —
Massey Totals — 151.1 (-1.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 26% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -2.3 (-39.7) 147.7 (+2.3) 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -2.7 (-39.3) 146.3 (+3.7) 37% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -4.3 (-37.7) 150.3 (-0.3) 40% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -3.4 (-38.6) 149.7 (+0.3) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 14, 2026 M-OH 100 – 61 CMU
Feb 5, 2025 M-OH 76 – 70 CMU
Feb 24, 2024 M-OH 88 – 60 CMU
Jan 24, 2024 CMU 71 – 55 M-OH
Feb 11, 2023 CMU 66 – 60 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU M-OH
Overall 7-16 12-11
Conference 3-13 9-8
Home 5-6 7-4
Away 2-9 5-6
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 72.0
Avg Pts Against 81.9 72.0
Massey -7.7 (#282) -1.9 (#191)
Bradley-Terry -1.79 (#311) -0.57 (#212)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.98 (#297) -0.50 (#204)
RPI 0.406 (#319) 0.470 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU M-OH
FG% 43.7% 43.6%
3PT% 32.3% 35.0%
REB / G 35.1 33.7
OREB / G 11.0 9.7
AST / TO 0.71 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 50.3%
TOV% 18.7% 16.4%
ORB% 28.9% 28.1%
FT Rate 24.4% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 18.0%
DRB% 66.7% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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