Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | ELON -178 W&M +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +19 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -3.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -2.0 (+17.0) | 134.9 (-7.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.6 (+16.4) | 134.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -2.6 (+16.4) | 134.7 (-7.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -2.4 (+16.6) | 135.6 (-8.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Home | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#268) | -7.1 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#244) | -0.65 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#248) | -1.38 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#226) | 0.477 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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