Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNC -1100 BC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +11 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -12.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-41.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -10.9 (+0.1) | 145.6 (-40.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -12.9 (-1.9) | 143.2 (-38.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -10.9 (+0.1) | 146.4 (-41.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -11.2 (-0.2) | 145.4 (-40.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNC 102 – 96 BC |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UNC 76 – 66 BC |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UNC 85 – 61 BC |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UNC 72 – 64 BC |
| Jan 2, 2022 | UNC 91 – 65 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#49) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#59) | -0.37 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#57) | -0.15 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#35) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.