Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +19 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -4.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -3.8 (-15.2) | 132.8 (+10.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -4.8 (-14.2) | 135.8 (+7.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -4.6 (-14.4) | 137.0 (+6.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -5.2 (-13.8) | 135.8 (+7.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | BU 77 – 73 LAF |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BU 83 – 67 LAF |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BU 66 – 64 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LAF 60 – 46 BU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BU 62 – 48 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#315) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#311) | -0.39 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#300) | 0.482 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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