Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | RID -120 MRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +12 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -2.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.6 (-12.6) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.8 (-13.8) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.0 (-14.0) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -1.5 (-13.5) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#296) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#295) | -1.27 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#283) | -1.94 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#297) | 0.410 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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