Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +130 UMES -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +21 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -3.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -3.4 (-17.6) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -5.0 (-16.0) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -3.1 (-17.9) | 147.9 (-12.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -3.0 (-18.0) | 149.4 (-14.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UMES 70 – 67 COPP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UMES 72 – 59 COPP |
| Feb 4, 2025 | COPP 62 – 57 UMES |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#343) | -4.8 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#294) | -0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#305) | -0.27 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#297) | 0.511 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.