Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
William & Mary Tribe
73 – 60
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Kaplan Arena · February 24, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ELON -1.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money W&M +110 / ELON -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total W&M win
Actual W&M +13 133 Won
Massey W&M -3.7 (+9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 136.5 (-3.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML W&M -2.4 (+10.6) 136.6 (-3.6) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ W&M -1.5 (+11.5) 135.4 (-2.4) 55% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML W&M -2.3 (+10.7) 135.3 (-2.3) 60% ✓
Baseline ML W&M -2.5 (+10.5) 136.2 (-3.2) 61% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 W&M 72 – 62 ELON
Feb 14, 2026 ELON 81 – 78 W&M
Jan 30, 2026 ELON 79 – 76 W&M
Feb 23, 2025 W&M 79 – 70 ELON
Jan 10, 2025 W&M 78 – 65 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings W&M ELON
Overall 13-20 8-24
Conference 7-11 6-12
Home 11-5 5-9
Away 1-14 3-12
Neutral 1-1 0-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 64.9 63.8
Avg Pts Against 71.7 72.2
Massey -9.0 (#320) -9.1 (#324)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#286) -1.86 (#332)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#311) -2.24 (#331)
RPI 0.453 (#266) 0.406 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors W&M ELON
FG% 43.0% 41.9%
3PT% 36.3% 29.4%
REB / G 32.0 33.2
OREB / G 9.6 8.7
AST / TO 0.91 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 47.9%
TOV% 19.1% 18.1%
ORB% 28.2% 25.1%
FT Rate 19.2% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 17.4%
DRB% 69.5% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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