Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -213 STET +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -2.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -0.9 (+5.1) | 153.6 (-17.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -2.3 (+3.7) | 152.4 (-16.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.2 (+4.8) | 156.9 (-20.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -1.9 (+4.1) | 157.0 (-21.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 STET |
| Jan 17, 2025 | QUC 95 – 60 STET |
| Jan 3, 2025 | QUC 96 – 87 STET |
| Mar 6, 2024 | STET 83 – 71 QUC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | QUC 83 – 75 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#201) | -0.6 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#156) | 0.39 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#185) | 0.49 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.532 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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