Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -130 VAL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -2.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -1.9 (-4.9) | 147.4 (+1.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -2.5 (-5.5) | 148.2 (+0.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -2.4 (-5.4) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -2.4 (-5.4) | 149.3 (-0.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | VAL 84 – 55 WMU |
| Nov 13, 2022 | VAL 81 – 65 WMU |
| Dec 5, 2021 | VAL 71 – 60 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#253) | -3.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#305) | -0.71 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#299) | -0.74 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#304) | 0.453 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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