Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UPST +110 SCST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -3.2 (-11.8) | 146.5 (+8.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -2.5 (-12.5) | 147.8 (+7.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -2.0 (-13.0) | 148.8 (+6.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -2.6 (-12.4) | 149.3 (+5.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | UPST 78 – 72 SCST |
| Dec 10, 2022 | UPST 89 – 84 SCST |
| Nov 24, 2021 | UPST 82 – 78 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 11-3 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#344) | -4.1 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#332) | -1.29 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#337) | -1.84 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#313) | 0.439 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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