Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -250 ME +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -5.5 (-0.5) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -5.0 (-0.0) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.7 (+0.3) | 138.7 (+10.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.0 (+0.0) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#158) | -2.9 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#129) | -0.67 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#136) | -0.62 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#118) | 0.478 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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